probability

  • Federal Reserve Interest Rates: Examining the Probability of Future Increases

    According to reports, according to CME\’s \”Federal Reserve Observation\”, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in May is 23.4%, and the probabi

    04/26/2023
    71
  • Federal Reserve’s Interest Rate Decision: May & June Probabilities

    According to reports, according to CME\’s \”Federal Reserve Observation\”, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in May is 44.9%, and the probabi

    04/07/2023
    100
  • Federal Reserve Observations: Interest Rates Likely to Stay Steady Despite Volatility

    On March 23, according to CME\’s \”Federal Reserve Observation\”, the probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates unchanged in May is 64.2%, and the probability

    03/23/2023
    119
  • CME’s Federal Reserve Observation: Interest Rate Predictions

    According to CME’s “Federal Reserve Observation”, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in March is 34.3%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points to the range of 4.75% to 5.00% is 65.7%; The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged by May is 26.1%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 25 basis points is 58.2%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 50 basis points is 15.8%. The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in March is 65.7% Analysis based on this information:The Federal Reserve is a crucial part of the US economy, and their decisions can have significant impacts on the financial market. CME’s “Federal Reserve Observation” provides insight into the probability of the Federal Reserve taking different actions regarding interest rates. According to the report, there is a 34.3% probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in…

    03/20/2023
    71
  • The Federal Reserve is Expected to Raise Interest Rates

    According to CME’s “Federal Reserve Observation”, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in March is 20.3%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points to the range of 4.75% to 5.00% is 79.7%; The probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 50 basis points by May rose to 49.2%. The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in March rose to 79.7% Analysis based on this information:The Federal Reserve, being the central bank of the United States, has a major impact on the country’s financial markets, particularly with regard to interest rates. Interest rates are the cost of borrowing money, and play a key role in the economy by influencing consumer behavior, investment decisions and inflation. Therefore, the announcement made by CME on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision has garnered much attention in the finance world. According to CME’s “Federal Reserve Observation,” the probability of…

    03/17/2023
    68
  • Goldman Sachs predicts 35% chance of US recession within a year

    According to reports, Goldman Sachs has raised the probability of the US economy falling into recession within the next 12 months by 10 percentage points to 35%. Goldman Sachs raised the probability of a recession in the US economy within a year by 10 percentage points to 35% Analysis based on this information:A recent report suggests that Goldman Sachs has raised the probability of the US economy falling into recession within the next 12 months, up by 10 percentage points to 35%. This announcement is certainly concerning news for investors and economists, as it indicates that the likelihood of a recession occurring has increased significantly in recent months. According to Goldman Sachs, a number of factors have contributed to this prediction, including weak business investment, declines in manufacturing activity, and the ongoing trade war between the US and China. In addition, the likelihood of a global recession has risen, which could further impact the US economy and increase the chance…

    03/16/2023
    74
  • Federal Reserve Likely to Raise Interest Rates in March

    According to CME’s “Federal Reserve observation”, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 20.3%, the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points to the range of 4.75% – 5.00% is 79.7%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points to the range of 5.00% – 5.25% continues to be 0%; The probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 50 basis points in May will fall to 0%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep the interest rate unchanged in March fell to 20.3% Analysis based on this information:The recent report by CME’s “Federal Reserve observation” indicates that the likelihood of the Federal Reserve hiking interest rates is high, with a 79.7% probability of raising rates by 25 basis points in March. This is a signal to the market that the Fed is confident about the strength of the US economy and believes that inflation is under control….

    03/15/2023
    76
  • Federal Reserve’s Interest Rate Decision: Interpretation of CME’s Observation

    According to CME’s “Federal Reserve observation”, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 32.1%, the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points to the range of 4.75% – 5.00% is 67.9%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points to the range of 5.00% – 5.25% has dropped to 0%; The probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 50 basis points by May is 55.2%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 75 basis points to 5.25% – 5.50% is 24.2%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 100 basis points to 5.50% – 5.75% is 0%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep the interest rate unchanged in March is 32.1% Analysis based on this information:CME’s observation indicates that there is a high probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points to the range of 4.75% –…

    03/14/2023
    64
  • Federal Reserve’s Interest Rate Hike Probabilities

    According to CME\’s \”Federal Reserve Observation\”, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.75% – 5.00% in March is

    03/10/2023
    76
  • Federal Reserve Swap and Interest Rates

    It is reported that the Federal Reserve swap shows that the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points in March will fall below 50%.
    Federal Reser

    03/10/2023
    67
  • Grayscale’s Winning Probability Raised by a Senior Litigation Analyst

    It is reported that Eric Balchunas, a senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg, disclosed on social media that our senior litigation analyst raised the winning probabil…

    03/08/2023
    69
  • CME Predicts Possible Interest Rate Hikes by the Federal Reserve

    According to CME\’s \”Federal Reserve observation\”, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.75% – 5.00% in March is…

    03/06/2023
    66
  • Probability of Interest Rate Hike by the Federal Reserve

    According to CME\’s \”Federal Reserve observation\”, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.75% – 5.00% in March is…

    02/21/2023
    119